Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ETH prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-12-29 2794.650126 3022.166643 3252.710279 3503.497773 3768.297183 4039.264077 4337.180520
2025-01-05 2427.180534 2766.198807 3122.660181 3524.183816 3962.644669 4425.698393 4950.466021
2025-01-12 2180.280629 2584.923230 3022.240023 3527.501339 4092.628670 4702.756052 5408.721468
2025-01-19 1924.600224 2364.477547 2851.676693 3427.238592 4084.448818 4807.409270 5658.633943
2025-01-26 1840.168260 2326.339643 2875.436820 3535.557841 4301.495050 5156.223494 6175.948693
2025-02-02 1749.130677 2271.062299 2871.314503 3604.564313 4467.773227 5443.493601 6621.265815
2025-02-09 1632.494539 2176.436315 2813.243259 3603.338890 4546.532808 5625.789046 6943.026168
2025-02-16 1516.466282 2074.785856 2739.842334 3577.414064 4590.640636 5763.486394 7209.838607
2025-02-23 1445.307611 2023.695959 2723.325431 3616.078361 4708.597269 5985.878132 7575.044199
2025-03-02 1360.560761 1950.391759 2675.032541 3611.929463 4771.679911 6140.921412 7859.344902
2025-03-09 1309.291963 1916.758500 2673.430083 3663.110844 4900.505554 6373.878477 8236.853693
2025-03-16 1226.907492 1838.163984 2611.128858 3634.861016 4928.658342 6483.228487 8464.525870
2025-03-23 1191.895688 1821.662766 2628.399389 3708.288981 5085.480479 6752.877745 8892.066156
2025-03-30 1137.415627 1776.326243 2606.250314 3729.870908 5176.662809 6942.410660 9223.530356
2025-04-06 1079.808162 1723.678798 2571.868281 3733.330473 5243.166590 7100.464364 9516.219725
2025-04-13 984.966183 1614.533947 2458.011548 3628.759474 5167.911765 7078.913826 9584.335740
2025-04-20 977.139123 1627.950507 2508.913049 3741.731744 5373.483090 7410.697511 10094.212989
2025-04-27 955.202796 1619.776287 2529.447113 3813.682824 5525.823748 7676.031893 10522.587233
2025-05-04 909.183726 1574.299156 2496.724081 3812.405241 5581.250175 7817.833935 10795.816960
2025-05-11 857.409149 1517.853474 2446.521028 3785.375828 5601.102557 7913.124839 11009.782432
2025-05-18 830.549058 1497.519375 2446.091298 3825.686736 5709.948981 8122.897018 11370.147542
2025-05-25 791.209254 1456.319986 2414.360147 3821.361372 5758.124054 8253.821303 11629.974648
2025-06-01 771.560950 1444.630579 2424.355232 3874.715949 5883.895621 8486.025908 12020.996522